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Home > Library > Stable Times > Volume 6, Issue 2  

Newsletter - Stable Times
The quarterly publication of the Stable Value Investment Association
Second Quarter 2002 • Volume 6 Issue 2

FIRSTSource Data for 4th Quarter 2001


Stable Value Cash Flow at a Glance

By Kathleen Schillo, Hueler Companies

FIRST-Source Market Data: 4th Qtr. 2001
%
3rd Qtr. 2001
%
2nd Qtr. 2001
%
1st Qtr. 2001
%
4th Qtr. 2000
%
3rd Qtr. 2000
%
2nd Qtr. 2000
%
1st Qtr. 2000
%
4th Qtr. 1999
%
95% 4.15 9.62 3.46 10.08 6.63 5.48 3.63 1.82 10.25
75% 0.45 4.65 0.41 5.15 0.91 0.64 -0.55 -3.85 3.97
Average -0.81 2.80 -0.81 2.67 -0.73 -0.97 -2.03 -7.58 1.75
25% -2.43 0.66 -2.51 0.28 -2.58 -2.55 -3.72 -10.33 -1.18
5% -4.68 -2.17 -4.92 -4.93 -8.07 -6.15 -7.46 -19.06 -5.32

According to Hueler’s FIRSTSource Market data it appears that while first quarter 2001 and third quarter 2001 showed the strongest positive cash inflows into stable value in years, fourth quarter 2001 cash flows were more in line with recent trends. While second and fourth quarters didn’t show significant positive stable value in-flows, it is important to note that the allocation to the Stable Value Asset Class as a percent of all Plan Assets rose from 21% as of 12/31/00 to 26% on 12/31/01. Approximately half of the allocation increase can be attributed due to cash flows, with the remaining half being attributed to the negative returns of equity investments. With all of the proposals in Congress and attention from the media related to company stock in 401(k) plans, it will be interesting to see if first quarter 2002 shows a positive shift once again into stable value. FIRSTSource Market data encompasses approximately 340 plans with $354 billion in total plan assets and $92 billion in stable value assets.

Asset Class 12/31/2001 12/31/2000
Stable Value/GIC 26.03% 20.96%
Balanced Funds 4.84% 5.29%
Company Stock 22.75% 25.65%
Equity 34.35% 38.17%
Fixed Income 2.27% 1.23%
International Equity 2.36% 2.80%
Life Cycle Funds 2.32% 1.73%
Money Market/Short Fixed Income 1.45% 1.42%
Other 3.62% 2.74%

 

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