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Home > Library > Stable Times > Volume 4, Issue 1

The quarterly publication of the Stable Value Investment Association
First Quarter 2000 • Volume 4 Issue 1
Tracking Stable Value Yield Spreads, March 1999 to February 2000
By Karl Tourville, Galliard Capital
Interest rates have continued their
upward climb during the last several months on the short end of the curve
as strong economic growth coupled with modest inflation has lead the Federal
Reserve to maintain a tightening bias. The long end of the curve has inverted
with the 30 Yr. Treasury yielding 6.15% as of 2/29, which is lower than
the 1 Yr. yield of 6.23%. This inversion is a result of the reduced supply
of longer-term Treasury securities as the US Treasury cuts back issuance
and buys back debt. In this environment there has been an upward pressure
on spreads particularly in the mortgage-backed sector. GIC spreads have
remained constant over past few months with the 5 Yr. GIC spread at approximately
100 over Treasuries.
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